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Red187
5486115.1
5547126.0
3602120.9
Blue345
6581112.2
5505156.6
7154104.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2572930100200400500600187345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5547
#24
126.01.3
123.9125.3
Auto18.5
Teleop89.8
End20.4
blue by 30.6
156.61.5
152.1153.7
Auto15.6
Teleop125.0
End18.3
Second
3602
#28
120.90.5
121.6121.1
Auto16.2
Teleop98.2
End8.1
red by 8.7
6581
#27
112.21.4
110.7112.2
Auto14.4
Teleop86.4
End15.0
Third
5486
#21
115.11.2
113.9115.1
Auto17.1
Teleop88.4
End11.1
red by 10.4
7154
#29
104.70.1
102.6102.7
Auto15.2
Teleop83.0
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed