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Red256
910161.2
1023193.1
3618144.3
Blue294
4967152.2
6852148.0
6914126.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4202960100200500600700800256294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.10.2
192.6192.9
Auto22.0
Teleop141.3
End30.0
red by 40.9
4967
#15
152.20.0
152.1152.2
Auto26.3
Teleop105.2
End19.6
Second
910
#12
161.20.3
160.7160.9
Auto23.4
Teleop123.2
End12.6
red by 13.2
148.00.0
147.9148.0
Auto22.6
Teleop108.8
End16.6
Third
3618
#20
144.30.2
144.1144.3
Auto21.3
Teleop110.2
End13.6
red by 18.4
6914
#17
126.00.8
124.4125.2
Auto17.2
Teleop91.0
End20.0