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Red166
2771191.1
3452186.5
4395150.9
Blue409
314152.8
503174.9
5162118.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439275100200400500600700800166409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191.10.1
191.0191.2
Auto25.1
Teleop132.8
End33.5
red by 16.3
503
#5
174.90.1
174.9174.8
Auto25.0
Teleop120.5
End28.8
Second
186.50.7
184.3185.0
Auto19.9
Teleop138.0
End31.4
red by 33.7
314
#11
152.80.1
152.5152.6
Auto20.5
Teleop117.3
End15.2
Third
4395
#26
150.90.1
151.6151.5
Auto18.8
Teleop120.1
End10.9
red by 32.0
5162
#24
118.90.4
119.5119.2
Auto19.2
Teleop87.5
End10.2