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Red490
910161.2
1023193.1
5161128.0
Blue166
4967152.2
6852148.0
6914126.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3973000100200500600700800490166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.10.1
192.9193.0
Auto22.0
Teleop141.3
End30.0
red by 40.9
4967
#15
152.20.0
152.2152.2
Auto26.3
Teleop105.2
End19.6
Second
910
#12
161.20.1
160.9161.1
Auto23.4
Teleop123.2
End12.6
red by 13.2
148.00.0
148.0148.0
Auto22.6
Teleop108.8
End16.6
Third
5161
#22
128.00.0
128.1128.1
Auto17.4
Teleop97.6
End12.6
red by 2.0
6914
#17
126.00.7
125.2126.0
Auto17.2
Teleop91.0
End20.0