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Red308
4395150.9
438293.0
314152.8
Blue204
5161128.0
523197.9
5255111.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318264100200400500308204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#11
152.80.7
157.5156.7
Auto20.5
Teleop117.3
End15.2
red by 24.9
5161
#22
128.00.7
126.1126.8
Auto17.4
Teleop97.6
End12.6
Second
4395
#26
150.90.4
144.4144.9
Auto18.8
Teleop120.1
End10.9
red by 39.3
5255
#23
111.60.4
111.9112.3
Auto15.3
Teleop84.8
End10.2
Third
4382
#29
93.00.3
92.392.0
Auto15.8
Teleop68.0
End6.7
blue by 4.9
5231
#36
97.90.1
105.8105.7
Auto16.1
Teleop73.1
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed