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Red298
6914126.0
910161.2
6089118.8
Blue390
503174.9
6963111.9
5162118.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823270100200400500600298390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#12
161.20.3
152.6153.0
Auto23.4
Teleop123.2
End12.6
blue by 13.7
503
#5
174.90.8
175.6174.8
Auto25.0
Teleop120.5
End28.8
Second
6914
#17
126.00.0
107.9108.0
Auto17.2
Teleop91.0
End20.0
red by 7.0
5162
#24
118.91.4
126.1124.7
Auto19.2
Teleop87.5
End10.2
Third
6089
#38
118.80.2
118.6118.4
Auto16.3
Teleop89.2
End12.6
red by 6.9
6963
#35
111.90.7
110.8110.1
Auto16.6
Teleop90.1
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed