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Red262
6963111.9
1023193.1
3618144.3
Blue345
5255111.6
6852148.0
107162.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365279100200400500600262345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.10.6
186.0186.6
Auto22.0
Teleop141.3
End30.0
red by 31.0
107
#8
162.00.1
155.5155.6
Auto23.6
Teleop115.4
End23.6
Second
3618
#20
144.31.1
144.2145.3
Auto21.3
Teleop110.2
End13.6
blue by 3.7
148.01.2
140.8142.0
Auto22.6
Teleop108.8
End16.6
Third
6963
#35
111.90.1
110.1110.0
Auto16.6
Teleop90.1
End6.0
red by 0.3
5255
#23
111.60.0
112.3112.3
Auto15.3
Teleop84.8
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed