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Red206
523197.9
5248121.1
4776156.4
Blue448
438293.0
6561116.3
3452186.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278282200250300350400206448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#25
156.40.5
146.5147.0
Auto20.1
Teleop117.7
End16.3
blue by 30.0
186.50.6
165.9166.4
Auto19.9
Teleop138.0
End31.4
Second
5248
#28
121.11.0
121.9121.0
Auto16.7
Teleop95.4
End10.4
red by 4.9
6561
#31
116.30.1
111.5111.4
Auto19.2
Teleop87.4
End8.8
Third
5231
#36
97.90.3
105.7105.4
Auto16.1
Teleop73.1
End10.2
red by 4.9
4382
#29
93.00.2
92.091.9
Auto15.8
Teleop68.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed