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Red195
523197.9
6561116.3
7248103.5
Blue355
5161128.0
107162.0
7210103.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2543380100200300400500600195355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6561
#31
116.31.7
112.5114.1
Auto19.2
Teleop87.4
End8.8
blue by 45.8
107
#8
162.01.5
156.5158.0
Auto23.6
Teleop115.4
End23.6
Second
7248
#39
103.51.0
114.5113.5
Auto17.2
Teleop80.6
End6.6
blue by 24.4
5161
#22
128.00.4
126.4126.0
Auto17.4
Teleop97.6
End12.6
Third
5231
#36
97.90.2
104.8105.0
Auto16.1
Teleop73.1
End10.2
blue by 5.4
7210
#33
103.30.1
103.9103.8
Auto16.2
Teleop70.0
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed