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Red341
4381157.3
3570132.8
6963111.9
Blue226
5248121.1
7160121.9
2771191.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273334100200300400500600341226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#10
157.30.6
149.5150.1
Auto20.4
Teleop116.2
End19.5
blue by 33.8
191.10.0
186.8186.8
Auto25.1
Teleop132.8
End33.5
Second
3570
#13
132.81.0
124.6125.6
Auto16.9
Teleop102.5
End12.8
red by 10.9
7160
#19
121.92.5
109.0111.5
Auto17.9
Teleop93.2
End12.5
Third
6963
#35
111.90.8
109.4108.6
Auto16.6
Teleop90.1
End6.0
blue by 9.3
5248
#28
121.11.2
119.9118.6
Auto16.7
Teleop95.4
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed