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Red295
2337197.2
6914126.0
5255111.6
Blue276
5173135.5
4337119.9
226183.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315358100200400500600295276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
197.21.3
187.1188.4
Auto28.8
Teleop141.6
End27.5
red by 13.2
226
#16
183.91.9
182.0183.9
Auto25.6
Teleop137.5
End18.3
Second
6914
#17
126.01.5
109.3110.8
Auto17.2
Teleop91.0
End20.0
blue by 9.5
135.51.0
141.7140.7
Auto20.9
Teleop96.9
End19.3
Third
5255
#23
111.60.2
113.1112.9
Auto15.3
Teleop84.8
End10.2
blue by 8.3
4337
#32
119.90.8
119.7120.5
Auto17.1
Teleop88.1
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed