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Red264
858148.1
4395150.9
6597103.8
Blue434
3618144.3
3452186.5
4776156.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243391100200300500600264434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4395
#26
150.90.2
144.7144.9
Auto18.8
Teleop120.1
End10.9
blue by 35.6
186.52.2
168.1170.4
Auto19.9
Teleop138.0
End31.4
Second
858
#18
148.11.7
143.5145.2
Auto18.1
Teleop115.6
End15.2
blue by 8.3
4776
#25
156.40.7
147.1147.8
Auto20.1
Teleop117.7
End16.3
Third
6597
#34
103.80.6
104.6104.0
Auto11.8
Teleop80.8
End13.5
blue by 40.6
3618
#20
144.30.6
145.7145.0
Auto21.3
Teleop110.2
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed