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Red182
6561116.3
910161.2
7160121.9
Blue347
3452186.5
5255111.6
4967152.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2873430100200400500600700800182347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#12
161.20.9
158.7159.6
Auto23.4
Teleop123.2
End12.6
blue by 25.3
186.50.8
176.8177.6
Auto19.9
Teleop138.0
End31.4
Second
7160
#19
121.91.9
116.0117.9
Auto17.9
Teleop93.2
End12.5
blue by 30.3
4967
#15
152.21.0
148.4149.4
Auto26.3
Teleop105.2
End19.6
Third
6561
#31
116.30.3
116.6116.9
Auto19.2
Teleop87.4
End8.8
red by 4.7
5255
#23
111.60.4
111.0110.6
Auto15.3
Teleop84.8
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed