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Red285
2832155.7
4381157.3
5161128.0
Blue442
4337119.9
3357235.0
3618144.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290386100200500600700285442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#10
157.31.2
154.5155.6
Auto20.4
Teleop116.2
End19.5
blue by 77.6
235.02.0
224.5226.5
Auto25.6
Teleop175.4
End34.2
Second
2832
#27
155.71.9
163.4161.5
Auto20.8
Teleop113.8
End20.6
red by 11.3
3618
#20
144.30.7
143.8143.1
Auto21.3
Teleop110.2
End13.6
Third
5161
#22
128.00.4
126.1126.5
Auto17.4
Teleop97.6
End12.6
red by 8.0
4337
#32
119.90.6
121.9121.3
Auto17.1
Teleop88.1
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed