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Red342
661099.4
4967152.2
4381157.3
Blue333
910161.2
6597103.8
7248103.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322287150200250350400450500342333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#10
157.30.5
157.9157.4
Auto20.4
Teleop116.2
End19.5
blue by 3.9
910
#12
161.20.0
160.5160.5
Auto23.4
Teleop123.2
End12.6
Second
4967
#15
152.20.0
152.0152.0
Auto26.3
Teleop105.2
End19.6
red by 48.4
6597
#34
103.81.2
102.5103.8
Auto11.8
Teleop80.8
End13.5
Third
6610
#21
99.40.5
98.899.4
Auto15.7
Teleop77.4
End5.2
blue by 4.2
7248
#39
103.50.9
104.2103.3
Auto17.2
Teleop80.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed