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Red316
3357235.0
5161128.0
6852148.0
Blue223
4776156.4
5162118.9
2771191.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403312200500600700316223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
235.00.8
233.4234.2
Auto25.6
Teleop175.4
End34.2
red by 43.9
191.11.1
189.9190.9
Auto25.1
Teleop132.8
End33.5
Second
148.00.8
147.0147.9
Auto22.6
Teleop108.8
End16.6
blue by 8.4
4776
#25
156.41.1
155.3156.5
Auto20.1
Teleop117.7
End16.3
Third
5161
#22
128.00.5
127.6128.1
Auto17.4
Teleop97.6
End12.6
red by 9.0
5162
#24
118.90.4
120.8120.4
Auto19.2
Teleop87.5
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsMissed