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Red377
5234178.7
3618143.3
1896117.2
Blue108
3537136.7
5525121.7
5534133.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3143010100200400500600700377108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.71.7
157.0158.7
Auto25.5
Teleop124.8
End29.7
red by 42.1
3537
#13
136.79.9
107.5117.5
Auto18.5
Teleop100.2
End15.9
Second
143.30.7
129.3130.0
Auto20.6
Teleop110.5
End12.0
red by 9.7
133.69.6
113.8123.4
Auto19.4
Teleop99.5
End12.5
Third
1896
#19
117.20.6
117.2116.6
Auto16.6
Teleop92.3
End8.2
blue by 4.5
5525
#12
121.76.2
102.7108.8
Auto16.6
Teleop87.6
End18.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed