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Red419
6545111.6
5314127.6
2246107.9
Blue379
6649107.6
6573129.4
5603133.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244250100150200300350400450419379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5314
#20
127.66.1
101.3107.4
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End11.3
blue by 6.1
5603
#35
133.75.3
114.4119.8
Auto19.2
Teleop97.0
End19.1
Second
6545
#32
111.64.3
101.6105.9
Auto11.7
Teleop90.7
End7.3
blue by 17.9
6573
#23
129.44.2
109.0113.2
Auto18.6
Teleop100.5
End8.6
Third
2246
#33
107.95.3
88.994.2
Auto14.5
Teleop85.4
End10.4
red by 0.4
6649
#38
107.64.4
86.190.5
Auto14.7
Teleop81.5
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed