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Red270
3767157.7
226169.2
5714115.6
Blue259
5560137.1
4376147.2
5086149.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322311250350400450270259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#6
169.21.6
155.4156.9
Auto23.9
Teleop124.4
End21.1
red by 20.1
5086
#10
149.12.3
137.1139.4
Auto17.7
Teleop109.1
End25.3
Second
157.72.7
139.8142.4
Auto19.2
Teleop123.3
End15.4
red by 10.5
4376
#22
147.21.2
136.4137.6
Auto16.6
Teleop113.7
End14.3
Third
5714
#26
115.66.8
90.597.3
Auto13.6
Teleop87.5
End17.0
blue by 21.5
5560
#24
137.10.5
143.3142.9
Auto15.6
Teleop103.8
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed