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Red254
2246107.9
6561111.4
3537136.7
Blue331
3618143.3
6573129.4
5525121.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256289100150200350400450254331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3537
#13
136.72.8
117.5120.2
Auto18.5
Teleop100.2
End15.9
blue by 6.6
143.30.8
130.0130.8
Auto20.6
Teleop110.5
End12.0
Second
6561
#36
111.42.5
115.1117.6
Auto15.6
Teleop86.8
End8.6
blue by 18.0
6573
#23
129.46.2
113.2119.4
Auto18.6
Teleop100.5
End8.6
Third
2246
#33
107.92.3
94.296.5
Auto14.5
Teleop85.4
End10.4
blue by 13.7
5525
#12
121.70.4
108.8109.2
Auto16.6
Teleop87.6
End18.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed