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Red330
1711150.3
6087148.8
5509153.4
Blue337
5114172.7
4376147.2
5714115.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30332402004006008001,0001,200330337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#21
153.43.1
130.5133.5
Auto18.3
Teleop110.8
End25.8
blue by 19.3
172.71.6
156.1157.7
Auto20.5
Teleop125.4
End27.5
Second
150.30.7
136.0136.7
Auto16.3
Teleop121.5
End15.0
red by 3.1
4376
#22
147.20.9
137.6138.5
Auto16.6
Teleop113.7
End14.3
Third
6087
#18
148.80.2
148.0148.2
Auto18.7
Teleop108.5
End17.7
red by 33.2
5714
#26
115.64.4
97.3101.7
Auto13.6
Teleop87.5
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed