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Red400
4237157.9
5175123.4
3767157.7
Blue104
5314127.6
5603133.7
1896117.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348228100200300400500400104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.90.7
149.8150.6
Auto19.9
Teleop124.8
End11.9
red by 24.2
5603
#35
133.76.9
119.8126.7
Auto19.2
Teleop97.0
End19.1
Second
157.72.1
142.4144.5
Auto19.2
Teleop123.3
End15.4
red by 30.0
5314
#20
127.62.8
107.4110.2
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End11.3
Third
5175
#14
123.43.9
103.6107.5
Auto18.6
Teleop88.2
End20.3
red by 6.2
1896
#19
117.20.3
116.6116.3
Auto16.6
Teleop92.3
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed