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Qual 272018 FIM District Gaylord Event
Red312
7084114.6
717197.3
4376147.2
Blue196
6005119.1
5534133.6
5660107.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292255150200350400450312196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4376
#22
147.21.4
138.5→139.9
Auto16.6
Teleop113.7
End14.3
red by 13.6
5534
#8
133.62.5
123.4→125.9
Auto19.4
Teleop99.5
End12.5
Second
7084
#17
114.66.7
100.5→107.3
Auto16.1
Teleop93.7
End3.7
blue by 4.5
6005
#28
119.10.3
117.2→116.9
Auto14.4
Teleop91.4
End13.8
Third
7171
#40
97.30.4
97.0→96.6
Auto16.3
Teleop75.2
End2.9
blue by 10.2
5660
#27
107.51.3
109.5→108.2
Auto12.3
Teleop84.0
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed