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Red190
7172106.3
5509153.4
6556109.9
Blue313
5314127.6
3618143.3
6074104.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323217100400500190313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
#21
153.43.9
133.5137.4
Auto18.3
Teleop110.8
End25.8
red by 10.1
143.30.4
130.8131.2
Auto20.6
Teleop110.5
End12.0
Second
6556
#30
109.93.4
108.0111.4
Auto18.2
Teleop82.5
End9.6
blue by 17.7
5314
#20
127.61.0
110.2109.2
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End11.3
Third
7172
#31
106.33.3
101.9105.3
Auto12.3
Teleop86.0
End3.0
red by 2.0
6074
#37
104.31.2
92.090.8
Auto15.1
Teleop78.4
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed