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Red331
6649107.6
5234178.7
2246107.9
Blue244
1711150.3
6561111.4
6556109.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280277250260270290300310320330331244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.72.3
162.3164.6
Auto25.5
Teleop124.8
End29.7
red by 28.4
150.31.5
137.9139.4
Auto16.3
Teleop121.5
End15.0
Second
2246
#33
107.90.6
98.399.0
Auto14.5
Teleop85.4
End10.4
blue by 3.5
6561
#36
111.41.2
119.6118.4
Auto15.6
Teleop86.8
End8.6
Third
6649
#38
107.60.8
99.099.7
Auto14.7
Teleop81.5
End11.2
blue by 2.4
6556
#30
109.91.3
111.4112.6
Auto18.2
Teleop82.5
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed