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Red339
4376147.2
5525121.7
6074104.3
Blue171
4398128.2
724498.5
5175123.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281275200250300350339171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4376
#22
147.21.4
139.9141.3
Auto16.6
Teleop113.7
End14.3
red by 19.0
4398
#15
128.20.4
128.1128.5
Auto13.5
Teleop97.9
End17.5
Second
5525
#12
121.72.4
108.8111.2
Auto16.6
Teleop87.6
End18.0
blue by 1.7
5175
#14
123.45.2
111.6116.8
Auto18.6
Teleop88.2
End20.3
Third
6074
#37
104.32.5
90.893.3
Auto15.1
Teleop78.4
End10.0
red by 5.8
7244
#34
98.50.2
99.199.3
Auto13.7
Teleop77.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed