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Qual 42018 FIM District Gaylord Event
Red120
7172106.3
6649107.6
5525121.7
Blue381
6005119.1
5183125.9
5709110.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2842670100200400500600120381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5525
#12
121.715.5
78.9→94.4
Auto16.6
Teleop87.6
End18.0
blue by 4.2
5183
#11
125.90.2
104.1→104.3
Auto14.2
Teleop96.7
End16.9
Second
6649
#38
107.617.8
58.5→76.3
Auto14.7
Teleop81.5
End11.2
blue by 11.6
6005
#28
119.10.7
115.2→115.9
Auto14.4
Teleop91.4
End13.8
Third
7172
#31
106.323.8
101.5→77.7
Auto12.3
Teleop86.0
End3.0
blue by 4.6
5709
#39
110.914.7
86.5→101.2
Auto16.4
Teleop85.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed