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Red292
3537136.7
717197.3
226169.2
Blue368
724498.5
862191.3
5314127.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2773320100200400500600700292368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#6
169.20.9
153.1154.0
Auto23.9
Teleop124.4
End21.1
blue by 22.1
862
#3
191.32.1
167.6169.7
Auto24.8
Teleop146.6
End20.2
Second
3537
#13
136.715.4
80.395.6
Auto18.5
Teleop100.2
End15.9
red by 9.0
5314
#20
127.616.2
72.889.0
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End11.3
Third
7171
#40
97.316.3
94.077.7
Auto16.3
Teleop75.2
End2.9
blue by 1.2
7244
#34
98.548.2
125.977.7
Auto13.7
Teleop77.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed