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Red320
6005119.1
3767157.7
6573129.4
Blue301
5183125.9
6020119.8
6087148.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310285150200250350400450500320301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.70.9
146.8147.7
Auto19.2
Teleop123.3
End15.4
red by 8.9
6087
#18
148.80.3
149.1149.3
Auto18.7
Teleop108.5
End17.7
Second
6573
#23
129.42.4
122.7125.1
Auto18.6
Teleop100.5
End8.6
red by 3.5
5183
#11
125.91.9
108.9110.8
Auto14.2
Teleop96.7
End16.9
Third
6005
#28
119.10.4
115.8115.4
Auto14.4
Teleop91.4
End13.8
blue by 0.7
6020
#29
119.81.0
111.7112.8
Auto17.1
Teleop92.0
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed