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Red248
4398128.2
6556109.9
4376147.2
Blue326
6545111.6
5086149.1
7172106.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303274100150200250350400450248326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4376
#22
147.22.0
141.3143.3
Auto16.6
Teleop113.7
End14.3
blue by 1.9
5086
#10
149.10.7
143.0143.7
Auto17.7
Teleop109.1
End25.3
Second
4398
#15
128.20.2
128.5128.3
Auto13.5
Teleop97.9
End17.5
red by 16.6
6545
#32
111.62.5
111.3113.8
Auto11.7
Teleop90.7
End7.3
Third
6556
#30
109.90.3
112.6112.9
Auto18.2
Teleop82.5
End9.6
red by 3.7
7172
#31
106.30.8
106.5107.2
Auto12.3
Teleop86.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed