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Red334
5234178.7
5314127.6
5183125.9
Blue266
6545111.6
5114172.7
5509153.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337333250300350400450334266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.71.9
169.3171.2
Auto25.5
Teleop124.8
End29.7
red by 6.0
172.71.7
165.8167.5
Auto20.5
Teleop125.4
End27.5
Second
5314
#20
127.62.6
116.7119.3
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End11.3
blue by 25.8
5509
#21
153.42.8
146.1148.9
Auto18.3
Teleop110.8
End25.8
Third
5183
#11
125.92.7
114.9117.7
Auto14.2
Teleop96.7
End16.9
red by 14.4
6545
#32
111.60.9
116.0116.9
Auto11.7
Teleop90.7
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed