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Red282
6087148.8
5709110.9
226169.2
Blue191
5175123.4
5603133.7
6561111.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373273100200300400500282191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#6
169.21.6
163.9165.4
Auto23.9
Teleop124.4
End21.1
red by 35.5
5603
#35
133.71.1
130.9132.0
Auto19.2
Teleop97.0
End19.1
Second
6087
#18
148.80.3
150.0150.3
Auto18.7
Teleop108.5
End17.7
red by 25.4
5175
#14
123.41.7
120.7122.5
Auto18.6
Teleop88.2
End20.3
Third
5709
#39
110.91.9
118.2116.2
Auto16.4
Teleop85.4
End7.7
blue by 0.5
6561
#36
111.41.2
115.6114.4
Auto15.6
Teleop86.8
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed