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Red186
6020119.8
4237157.9
724498.5
Blue254
6561111.4
6582132.2
3618143.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301266100200400500186254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.90.7
160.1159.5
Auto19.9
Teleop124.8
End11.9
red by 14.6
143.31.1
139.4140.5
Auto20.6
Teleop110.5
End12.0
Second
6020
#29
119.81.3
117.8119.1
Auto17.1
Teleop92.0
End11.5
blue by 12.4
6582
#16
132.21.0
130.1131.1
Auto21.0
Teleop95.1
End16.0
Third
7244
#34
98.50.7
97.998.6
Auto13.7
Teleop77.1
End8.4
blue by 12.9
6561
#36
111.40.9
112.6111.7
Auto15.6
Teleop86.8
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed