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Red305
5234178.7
5878102.7
6573129.4
Blue265
5314127.6
4376147.2
6005119.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334284200400500305265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.72.4
173.3175.7
Auto25.5
Teleop124.8
End29.7
red by 31.6
4376
#22
147.20.6
146.3146.8
Auto16.6
Teleop113.7
End14.3
Second
6573
#23
129.41.0
132.4131.4
Auto18.6
Teleop100.5
End8.6
red by 1.8
5314
#20
127.61.6
121.9123.6
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End11.3
Third
5878
#25
102.71.5
105.0103.5
Auto18.5
Teleop77.2
End9.7
blue by 16.5
6005
#28
119.10.8
118.0118.8
Auto14.4
Teleop91.4
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed