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Red298
5660107.5
3537136.7
1711150.3
Blue237
5603133.7
4398128.2
5709110.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326270100200300400500298237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.31.3
144.7146.0
Auto16.3
Teleop121.5
End15.0
red by 16.6
5603
#35
133.70.7
131.7132.5
Auto19.2
Teleop97.0
End19.1
Second
3537
#13
136.70.8
135.0135.7
Auto18.5
Teleop100.2
End15.9
red by 8.5
4398
#15
128.20.2
128.0128.2
Auto13.5
Teleop97.9
End17.5
Third
5660
#27
107.50.6
106.3106.9
Auto12.3
Teleop84.0
End13.7
blue by 3.4
5709
#39
110.91.7
113.9112.2
Auto16.4
Teleop85.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed