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Red409
5175123.4
5560137.1
5534133.6
Blue176
2246107.9
6074104.3
5183125.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3062540100200400500409176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5560
#24
137.11.1
136.1135.0
Auto15.6
Teleop103.8
End19.6
red by 11.1
5183
#11
125.92.4
120.3122.8
Auto14.2
Teleop96.7
End16.9
Second
133.61.1
130.8131.9
Auto19.4
Teleop99.5
End12.5
red by 25.6
2246
#33
107.90.5
107.1107.6
Auto14.5
Teleop85.4
End10.4
Third
5175
#14
123.41.3
122.6121.3
Auto18.6
Teleop88.2
End20.3
red by 19.1
6074
#37
104.31.4
102.0103.4
Auto15.1
Teleop78.4
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed