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Red264
5183125.9
1711150.3
1896117.2
Blue365
3618143.3
7084114.6
6087148.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277302100150200250350400450500264365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.31.2
133.1134.4
Auto16.3
Teleop121.5
End15.0
red by 1.5
6087
#18
148.80.7
148.3147.5
Auto18.7
Teleop108.5
End17.7
Second
5183
#11
125.91.0
104.3105.3
Auto14.2
Teleop96.7
End16.9
blue by 17.4
143.31.1
130.2129.2
Auto20.6
Teleop110.5
End12.0
Third
1896
#19
117.20.4
116.2116.5
Auto16.6
Teleop92.3
End8.2
red by 2.6
7084
#17
114.637.3
115.177.7
Auto16.1
Teleop93.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed