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Red436
3767157.7
5234178.7
5086149.1
Blue60
5709110.9
5660107.5
6573129.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372246010020030040050043660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.70.9
156.1157.0
Auto25.5
Teleop124.8
End29.7
red by 49.3
6573
#23
129.412.2
96.8109.0
Auto18.6
Teleop100.5
End8.6
Second
157.72.1
137.7139.8
Auto19.2
Teleop123.3
End15.4
red by 46.8
5709
#39
110.912.2
101.2113.4
Auto16.4
Teleop85.4
End7.7
Third
5086
#10
149.11.6
135.5137.1
Auto17.7
Teleop109.1
End25.3
red by 41.6
5660
#27
107.50.1
112.0112.0
Auto12.3
Teleop84.0
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed