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Red339
3536171.3
1023186.8
3655119.7
Blue316
862167.6
4405169.0
5523117.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353337100200300400500600700339316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.80.0
186.9186.8
Auto23.3
Teleop132.3
End33.6
red by 17.8
169.00.4
168.3168.7
Auto21.1
Teleop120.8
End28.6
Second
171.30.1
171.1171.2
Auto24.9
Teleop121.1
End26.4
red by 3.7
862
#6
167.60.9
165.9166.8
Auto22.5
Teleop125.6
End20.4
Third
3655
#29
119.70.1
120.0119.8
Auto16.9
Teleop95.1
End6.8
red by 2.1
5523
#17
117.60.3
117.0117.3
Auto17.5
Teleop95.2
End6.0