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Red422
2834155.3
3604156.6
6914110.4
Blue294
3875150.8
6618161.7
5263129.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338315100200400500600422294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.60.3
155.7156.1
Auto19.4
Teleop113.3
End22.7
blue by 5.1
6618
#10
161.70.4
161.2161.7
Auto16.0
Teleop118.7
End28.6
Second
155.30.2
154.9155.0
Auto16.2
Teleop125.0
End14.6
red by 4.5
3875
#11
150.80.1
150.7150.8
Auto20.9
Teleop114.9
End14.2
Third
6914
#34
110.40.2
109.8110.0
Auto16.4
Teleop82.2
End13.3
blue by 18.9
5263
#20
129.30.0
129.3129.3
Auto20.3
Teleop97.6
End10.8