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Red346
3536171.3
1023186.8
3655119.7
Blue187
1188121.1
5205132.5
7174128.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404251100200300500600700346187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.80.1
187.1187.0
Auto23.3
Teleop132.3
End33.6
red by 54.3
5205
#14
132.50.4
132.1132.5
Auto15.2
Teleop104.0
End14.6
Second
171.30.1
170.8170.9
Auto24.9
Teleop121.1
End26.4
red by 42.8
7174
#18
128.50.5
128.0128.5
Auto14.7
Teleop102.2
End13.7
Third
3655
#29
119.70.2
120.5120.3
Auto16.9
Teleop95.1
End6.8
blue by 1.4
1188
#16
121.10.1
121.2121.1
Auto15.9
Teleop96.0
End6.3