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Red377
3536171.3
1023186.8
3655119.7
Blue199
4384147.4
4216168.6
5090132.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354331150200250300400450500550377199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.80.1
187.0186.9
Auto23.3
Teleop132.3
End33.6
red by 18.2
168.60.9
167.0167.9
Auto23.6
Teleop126.4
End21.6
Second
171.30.1
170.9171.0
Auto24.9
Teleop121.1
End26.4
red by 23.9
4384
#12
147.40.3
148.1147.7
Auto18.0
Teleop119.0
End8.0
Third
3655
#29
119.70.2
120.3120.1
Auto16.9
Teleop95.1
End6.8
blue by 12.5
5090
#33
132.20.1
132.1132.2
Auto15.6
Teleop92.6
End25.5