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Red285
7225147.6
1718151.3
830120.3
Blue283
4384147.4
4216168.6
5090132.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288360100200400500600285283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.30.2
151.6151.4
Auto20.9
Teleop121.3
End7.8
blue by 17.4
168.61.0
164.3165.2
Auto23.6
Teleop126.4
End21.6
Second
147.60.9
144.9145.8
Auto19.3
Teleop112.4
End18.0
red by 0.2
4384
#12
147.40.5
149.5149.0
Auto18.0
Teleop119.0
End8.0
Third
830
#28
120.30.1
120.6120.5
Auto17.4
Teleop91.2
End13.0
blue by 11.9
5090
#33
132.20.0
132.1132.1
Auto15.6
Teleop92.6
End25.5