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Red416
862167.6
4405169.0
5523117.6
Blue199
2834155.3
3604156.6
6914110.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337302150200250400450500550416199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.00.2
167.7168.0
Auto21.1
Teleop120.8
End28.6
red by 12.4
156.60.3
156.1156.4
Auto19.4
Teleop113.3
End22.7
Second
862
#6
167.60.8
164.2165.0
Auto22.5
Teleop125.6
End20.4
red by 12.3
155.30.2
155.0155.2
Auto16.2
Teleop125.0
End14.6
Third
5523
#17
117.60.1
116.7116.9
Auto17.5
Teleop95.2
End6.0
red by 7.1
6914
#34
110.40.2
110.0110.2
Auto16.4
Teleop82.2
End13.3