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Red334
2620111.2
862167.6
1188121.1
Blue203
5066104.1
2676110.7
4216168.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292296150200250350400450334203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#6
167.613.0
102.4115.3
Auto22.5
Teleop125.6
End20.4
blue by 1.0
168.613.5
97.9111.4
Auto23.6
Teleop126.4
End21.6
Second
1188
#16
121.115.4
79.995.3
Auto15.9
Teleop96.0
End6.3
red by 10.4
2676
#31
110.716.3
71.487.8
Auto15.7
Teleop86.2
End8.7
Third
2620
#25
111.215.7
77.793.3
Auto15.1
Teleop85.7
End11.9
red by 7.2
5066
#21
104.114.9
84.999.8
Auto15.3
Teleop86.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed