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Red358
1023186.8
6101136.0
4405169.0
Blue246
6618161.7
5263129.3
4384147.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3332740200400600800358246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.810.8
123.9134.7
Auto23.3
Teleop132.3
End33.6
red by 25.1
6618
#10
161.714.5
88.0102.6
Auto16.0
Teleop118.7
End28.6
Second
169.014.5
88.0102.6
Auto21.1
Teleop120.8
End28.6
red by 21.6
4384
#12
147.413.7
95.3109.1
Auto18.0
Teleop119.0
End8.0
Third
6101
#19
136.014.4
89.4103.8
Auto16.9
Teleop100.4
End15.0
red by 6.6
5263
#20
129.316.2
72.688.8
Auto20.3
Teleop97.6
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed