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Red206
123122.4
3875150.8
6591112.9
Blue241
1528119.8
6852142.0
7225147.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34422104006008001,000206241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#11
150.813.5
97.4110.9
Auto20.9
Teleop114.9
End14.2
red by 3.2
147.6101.3
179.177.7
Auto19.3
Teleop112.4
End18.0
Second
123
#32
122.413.8
94.5108.3
Auto18.7
Teleop93.9
End11.3
blue by 19.7
6852
#13
142.070.3
148.077.7
Auto16.9
Teleop107.7
End17.9
Third
6591
#24
112.914.3
90.2104.5
Auto17.9
Teleop83.6
End17.8
blue by 7.0
1528
#30
119.816.6
68.885.5
Auto14.6
Teleop89.7
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed