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Red297
7174128.5
5523117.6
1718151.3
Blue157
6591112.9
5205132.5
2620111.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2703060100200400500600700297157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.39.6
121.2130.8
Auto20.9
Teleop121.3
End7.8
red by 18.8
5205
#14
132.510.5
102.4112.9
Auto15.2
Teleop104.0
End14.6
Second
7174
#18
128.511.7
77.789.4
Auto14.7
Teleop102.2
End13.7
red by 15.6
6591
#24
112.98.3
104.5112.8
Auto17.9
Teleop83.6
End17.8
Third
5523
#17
117.66.1
96.3102.5
Auto17.5
Teleop95.2
End6.0
red by 6.3
2620
#25
111.211.7
93.3105.0
Auto15.1
Teleop85.7
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed