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Red112
1188121.1
5090132.2
280116.4
Blue401
862167.6
6618161.7
6852142.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2733150100200400500600112401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5090
#33
132.211.3
99.3110.6
Auto15.6
Teleop92.6
End25.5
blue by 35.4
862
#6
167.69.8
125.3135.1
Auto22.5
Teleop125.6
End20.4
Second
1188
#16
121.111.5
95.3106.8
Auto15.9
Teleop96.0
End6.3
blue by 40.6
6618
#10
161.79.8
102.6112.4
Auto16.0
Teleop118.7
End28.6
Third
280
#15
116.40.8
108.8109.6
Auto15.0
Teleop91.2
End12.9
blue by 25.6
6852
#13
142.013.2
77.791.0
Auto16.9
Teleop107.7
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed