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Red209
830120.3
6528108.4
2834155.3
Blue297
522596.5
5263129.3
4216168.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32224004006008001,000209297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.37.2
130.4137.6
Auto16.2
Teleop125.0
End14.6
blue by 13.3
168.65.4
118.0123.4
Auto23.6
Teleop126.4
End21.6
Second
830
#28
120.31.4
110.7112.2
Auto17.4
Teleop91.2
End13.0
blue by 9.0
5263
#20
129.310.0
99.8109.8
Auto20.3
Teleop97.6
End10.8
Third
6528
#22
108.49.6
86.696.2
Auto14.6
Teleop83.4
End8.5
red by 11.9
5225
#38
96.52.3
82.084.3
Auto10.9
Teleop75.2
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed